Chonburi 1-1 Prachuap — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.07
Over 2.5
42%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.8pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
44%
+13.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
56%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.5pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chonburi EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Prachuap EU Bookmakers 34%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.01/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.84
-26% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +25%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.6 Crosses 14.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chonburi
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Prachuap
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.23 xG 1.20
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
278 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 3-1 HT 2-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
11.02.2023 Prachuap Prachuap 3-1 HT 2-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
10.09.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 1-0 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
10.04.2022 Chonburi Chonburi 2-1 HT 0-0 Prachuap Prachuap TAY
10.11.2021 Prachuap Prachuap 1-2 HT 0-1 Chonburi Chonburi TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chonburi
1-1
AWAY Prachuap
0.46 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 7
235 Passes 182
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chonburi vs Prachuap
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chonburi and Prachuap couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Chonburi had 54% of the ball to Prachuap's 46%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.46 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chonburi had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Chonburi and 1.60 for Prachuap.

What was the final score of Chonburi vs Prachuap?

Chonburi 1-1 Prachuap in the Thailand - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chonburi vs Prachuap?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chonburi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chonburi 37%, draw 29%, Prachuap 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chonburi), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chonburi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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