Buriram United 1-1 Thai Port FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.38
Over 2.5
52%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buriram United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Thai Port FC EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.45/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.95
-23% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -20%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 82%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
21.5 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buriram United
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Thai Port FC
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.06 xG 0.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 9
238 Passes 327
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.11.2023 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAYFK
19.11.2022 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 1-3 HT 1-1 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
19.02.2022 Buriram United Buriram United 2-1 HT 1-0 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC TAY
10.10.2021 Thai Port FC Thai Port FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Buriram United Buriram United TAY
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buriram United
1-1
AWAY Thai Port FC
0.58 xG 1.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
472 Passes 344
87% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buriram United vs Thai Port FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buriram United and Thai Port FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Buriram United at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Buriram United had 57% of the ball to Thai Port FC's 43%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.58 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Buriram United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Buriram United and 0.75 for Thai Port FC.

What was the final score of Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Buriram United 1-1 Thai Port FC in the Thailand - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buriram United vs Thai Port FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buriram United win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Buriram United 55%, draw 23%, Thai Port FC 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buriram United) ✗ Over 2.5
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