Kanchanaburi 4-0 Lamphun Warrior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Thailand - 1st Division, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kanchanaburi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lamphun Warrior EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
Crosses 12.5
Yellow Cards 3.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kanchanaburi
4-0
AWAY Lamphun Warrior
1.46 xG 1.36
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 12
161 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
13 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kanchanaburi vs Lamphun Warrior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kanchanaburi cruised past Lamphun Warrior 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kanchanaburi as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kanchanaburi had 41% of the ball to Lamphun Warrior's 59%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 1.46 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Kanchanaburi vs Lamphun Warrior?

Kanchanaburi 4-0 Lamphun Warrior in the Thailand - 1st Division on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kanchanaburi vs Lamphun Warrior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kanchanaburi win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kanchanaburi 42%, draw 27%, Lamphun Warrior 31%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kanchanaburi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kanchanaburi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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