Dukla Prag 3-2 Prostejov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.7pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Prag EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Prostejov EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.79/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.93
-1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
436 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Prag
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Prostejov
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
55% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Prostejov Prostejov 1-2 HT 0-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
24.05.2023 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 4-1 HT 3-0 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
05.11.2022 Prostejov Prostejov 4-2 HT 3-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
16.04.2022 Prostejov Prostejov 2-1 HT 2-1 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
01.10.2021 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag 0-1 HT 0-1 Prostejov Prostejov ÇEK2
07.04.2021 Prostejov Prostejov 1-0 HT 1-0 Dukla Prag Dukla Prag ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Prag
3-2
AWAY Prostejov
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dukla Prag vs Prostejov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dukla Prag edged past Prostejov 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dukla Prag as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Dukla Prag had 56% of the ball to Prostejov's 44%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Prostejov led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Dukla Prag and 1.67 for Prostejov.

What was the final score of Dukla Prag vs Prostejov?

Dukla Prag 3-2 Prostejov in the Czech Republic - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Prag vs Prostejov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dukla Prag 50%, draw 25%, Prostejov 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dukla Prag), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dukla Prag) ✓ Over 2.5
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