Viktoria Zizkov 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒11:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viktoria Zizkov EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.75/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.15
+12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
366 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viktoria Zizkov
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Varnsdorf
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
29.10.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 4-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
28.11.2021 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov 0-2 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
01.08.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
02.05.2021 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov 1-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
25.11.2020 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-3 HT 0-3 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
02.06.2020 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 0-4 HT 0-1 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viktoria Zizkov
1-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
48% Ball Possession 52%
2 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viktoria Zizkov vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Zizkov and Varnsdorf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Viktoria Zizkov at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Viktoria Zizkov had 48% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 52%, shots finished 2-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Viktoria Zizkov and 1.50 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Viktoria Zizkov vs Varnsdorf?

Viktoria Zizkov 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viktoria Zizkov vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viktoria Zizkov win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Viktoria Zizkov 43%, draw 24%, Varnsdorf 34%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Viktoria Zizkov) ✗ BTTS No
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