Hibernian 0-4 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 12 May 2024

Hibernian
0-4 HT 0-2
Aberdeen
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hibernian vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.45
2-3 Goals
42%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.58
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.45 — our 26% vs market 17.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.64
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
10%
12.5
X/1
12%
4.81
X/2
11%
7.57
X/X
9%
5.27
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
12%
5.0
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hibernian v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -22%
1.41/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.71
+10% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 72%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
24.7 Crosses 19.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hibernian vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Aberdeen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.79 xG 1.70
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 Passes 248
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 28
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-2 HT 1-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
03.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
03.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
13.05.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP

Hibernian 0-4 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
0-4
AWAY Aberdeen
1.08 xG 2.52
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
428 Passes 302
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 22
29 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen cruised past Hibernian 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hibernian had 58% of the ball to Aberdeen's 42%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.08 to 2.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Hibernian and 0.50 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Hibernian 0-4 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 45%, draw 26%, Aberdeen 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Hibernian), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →