Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 Feb 2024

Aberdeen
2-2 HT 1-1
Hibernian
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Aberdeen vs Hibernian Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
15.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.04
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.74
X/2
12%
6.36
X/X
12%
4.48
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.6
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aberdeen v Hibernian — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 33%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.54/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.00
+1% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 67%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
23.4 Crosses 19.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aberdeen vs Hibernian Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.45 xG 1.79
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
241 Passes 254
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.11.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-1 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKLK
03.09.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-2 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
13.05.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
28.01.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 6-0 HT 3-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
04.11.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 4-1 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP

Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
2-2
AWAY Hibernian
2.91 xG 1.46
44% Ball Possession 56%
22 Total Shots 7
12 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
217 Passes 308
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Hibernian shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Aberdeen at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Aberdeen had 44% of the ball to Hibernian's 56%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.91 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Aberdeen and 1.83 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Aberdeen 2-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aberdeen win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 41%, draw 27%, Hibernian 32%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aberdeen), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aberdeen) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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