Livingston 1-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 Feb 2024

Livingston
1-0 HT 1-0
St. Mirren
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Livingston vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.51
Over 2.5
45%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.59
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.69
1/2
9%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.75
X/1
14%
5.68
X/2
11%
4.65
X/X
14%
3.55
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
18%
3.55
2/X
8%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.7pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.2pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.5pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.23/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.16
-12% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
214 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 68%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.8 Crosses 23.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Livingston vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
0W-3D-3L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.16 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
217 Passes 185
63% Pass Accuracy 62%
22 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.04.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 3-0 HT 3-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
28.12.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
11.05.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP

Livingston 1-0 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livingston
1-0
AWAY St. Mirren
0.93 xG 2.07
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
152 Passes 331
56% Pass Accuracy 74%
10 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 41
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Livingston vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston squeezed past St. Mirren 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Livingston found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Livingston had 36% of the ball to St. Mirren's 64%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.93 to 2.07 — on chances, St. Mirren could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Livingston and 1.33 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Livingston 1-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Livingston 34%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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