Hearts 2-0 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 17 Feb 2024

Hearts
2-0 HT 0-0
Motherwell
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hearts vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
12%
16.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
16%
3.9
X/2
10%
8.81
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
8%
24.6
2/2
13%
7.11
2/X
6%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-7.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.79/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
+17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
306 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 64%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
23.8 Crosses 19.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hearts vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.71 xG 1.64
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
400 Passes 226
80% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.11.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
03.09.2023 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
19.02.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
06.11.2022 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
18.09.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 0-3 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
11.05.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP

Hearts 2-0 Motherwell — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-0
AWAY Motherwell
1.71 xG 0.46
71% Ball Possession 29%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
609 Passes 189
88% Pass Accuracy 72%
38 Box Touches 21
38 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Motherwell 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hearts had 71% of the ball to Motherwell's 29%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hearts and 1.33 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Motherwell?

Hearts 2-0 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hearts 45%, draw 26%, Motherwell 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
17 Feb 2024
18:00 Dundee FC vs Ross County Analysis →
18:00 Aberdeen vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Livingston vs St. Mirren Analysis →
18:00 Celtic vs Kilmarnock Analysis →