Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Celtic v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-1
Celtic
İKP
3-1
HT 2-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-0
HT 0-0
Celtic
İKLK
1-4
HT 1-4
Celtic
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKLK
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Celtic had 71% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 29%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.63 to 0.92.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Celtic vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Celtic 62%, draw 21%, Kilmarnock 17%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.