Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Celtic v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Celtic 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Celtic and Kilmarnock shared the points in a 1-1 draw. From 1-0 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time.
This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 80% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%) — went the other way, though.
Under the surface, possession split 71% to 29% in Celtic's favour, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 1.63 to 0.92.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Celtic against 0.83 for Kilmarnock.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Celtic 1 - 1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Celtic vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Celtic 80%, draw 13%, Kilmarnock 7%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.