Norwich City 0-0 Leeds United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 27% vs market 25.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.6
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
12%
6.44
X/2
12%
4.84
X/X
11%
4.57
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
20%
3.09
2/X
8%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Norwich City EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Leeds United EU Bookmakers 46%
-12% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -35%
0.90/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.12
-19% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.8 Crosses 20.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Norwich City
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Leeds United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.95 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
274 Passes 373
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.01.2024 Leeds United Leeds United 1-0 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
21.10.2023 Norwich City Norwich City 2-3 HT 2-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
13.03.2022 Leeds United Leeds United 2-1 HT 1-0 Norwich City Norwich City İNP
31.10.2021 Norwich City Norwich City 1-2 HT 0-0 Leeds United Leeds United İNP
02.02.2019 Leeds United Leeds United 1-3 HT 0-2 Norwich City Norwich City İNCL
25.08.2018 Norwich City Norwich City 0-3 HT 0-2 Leeds United Leeds United İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Norwich City
0-0
AWAY Leeds United
0.51 xG 0.25
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
246 Passes 422
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Norwich City vs Leeds United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Norwich City and Leeds United played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leeds United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Norwich City had 40% of the ball to Leeds United's 60%, shots finished 7-6, expected goals 0.51 to 0.25.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leeds United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Norwich City and 2.00 for Leeds United.

What was the final score of Norwich City vs Leeds United?

Norwich City 0-0 Leeds United in the England - Championship on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Norwich City vs Leeds United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leeds United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Norwich City 33%, draw 26%, Leeds United 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leeds United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leeds United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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