Assyriska 1-2 Örebro Syrianska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.0pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Örebro Syrianska EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +12%
1.52/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.27
-13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.10.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-1 HT 1-0 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska İSÇ3
10.07.2021 Örebro Syrianska Örebro Syrianska 4-3 HT 2-2 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-2
AWAY Örebro Syrianska
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Örebro Syrianska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro Syrianska squeezed past Assyriska 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Assyriska at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Assyriska had 50% of the ball to Örebro Syrianska's 50%, shots finished 20-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Örebro Syrianska led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Assyriska and 2.50 for Örebro Syrianska.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Örebro Syrianska?

Assyriska 1-2 Örebro Syrianska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Örebro Syrianska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 44%, draw 27%, Örebro Syrianska 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Assyriska) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✓ BTTS Yes
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