Hammarby Talang 1-2 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
2.29/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.05
+14% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
13.05.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 3-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
14.08.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 3-4 HT 2-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
10.04.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-2 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
31.10.2021 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 1-0 HT 1-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
05.04.2021 Umea FC Umea FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
1-2
AWAY Umea FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Hammarby Talang 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hammarby Talang at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 60% of the ball to Umea FC's 40%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hammarby Talang had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hammarby Talang and 1.33 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs Umea FC?

Hammarby Talang 1-2 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 52%, draw 22%, Umea FC 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hammarby Talang) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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