12/05/2024
·
13:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
1-1
Formentera vs Izarra Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
27%
Draw
28%
23%
Away Win
24%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Formentera v Izarra — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Formentera
EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Izarra
EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-7% /
-9%
1.43/0.80
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.01/1.60
+3%
/
+5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+7%
/
-26%
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
283 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.9
POST-MATCH
Formentera vs Izarra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Izarra nicked a narrow win over Formentera 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Formentera at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Formentera vs Izarra?
Formentera 0-1 Izarra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Formentera vs Izarra?
Before kick-off our model rated a Formentera win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Formentera 50%, draw 27%, Izarra 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Formentera) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Formentera)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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12 May 2024