Zaragoza II 2-1 Pontevedra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
47%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+10.5pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.8pp
47%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.7pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontevedra EU Bookmakers 56%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.42/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.21
+48% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
207 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaragoza II
2-1
AWAY Pontevedra
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Zaragoza II vs Pontevedra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaragoza II squeezed past Pontevedra 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Pontevedra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Zaragoza II had 40% of the ball to Pontevedra's 60%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Zaragoza II vs Pontevedra?

Zaragoza II 2-1 Pontevedra in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaragoza II vs Pontevedra?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pontevedra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Zaragoza II 34%, draw 19%, Pontevedra 47%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Pontevedra) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
12 May 2024
12:30 Getafe II vs Marbella Analysis →
13:00 Ciudad Real vs Real Aviles Analysis →
13:00 Atlético Paso vs Barakaldo Analysis →
13:00 Formentera vs Izarra Analysis →
13:00 Rayo Cantabria vs SS Reyes Analysis →
18:00 Real Betis II vs Europa Analysis →