Fylkir 0-3 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 May 2024

Fylkir
0-3 HT 0-1
Breidablik
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Iceland - Urvalsdeild – 2024

Fylkir vs Breidablik Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
42%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.43
No
38%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
42%
Away Win
55%
-13.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.7pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.7pp
62%
BTTS Yes
66%
-3.8pp
38%
BTTS No
34%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fylkir v Breidablik — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fylkir EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 59%
-8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.45/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.45
+24% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.6
19.2 Crosses 25.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Fylkir vs Breidablik Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fylkir
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Breidablik
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
0.69 xG 1.82
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
194 Passes 430
70% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
08.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.08.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-7 HT 0-4 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
12.06.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
13.03.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
04.10.2020 Breidablik Breidablik 4-1 HT 2-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZL

Fylkir 0-3 Breidablik — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fylkir
0-3
AWAY Breidablik
0.62 xG 2.18
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
297 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 41
24 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fylkir vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik swept aside Fylkir 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

On the day, Fylkir had 44% of the ball to Breidablik's 56%, shots finished 16-14, expected goals 0.62 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Fylkir and 3.67 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Fylkir vs Breidablik?

Fylkir 0-3 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fylkir vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fylkir 30%, draw 28%, Breidablik 42%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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