KR Reykjavik 1-2 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.61
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-13.1pp
24%
Draw
19%
+5.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.71/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.98
-29% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
27.8 Crosses 13.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KR Reykjavik
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.27 xG 0.92
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
382 Passes 298
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
06.02.2024 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-3 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZLK
13.07.2023 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 1-1 HT 0-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
03.05.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
18.02.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 6-1 HT 2-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZLK
16.08.2021 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 0-1 HT 0-1 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
25.05.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-0 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KR Reykjavik
1-2
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.37 xG 3.03
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
372 Passes 128
73% Pass Accuracy 49%
30 Box Touches 17
28 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH KR Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur edged past KR Reykjavik 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was KR Reykjavik at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KR Reykjavik had 66% of the ball to HK Kopavogur's 34%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.37 to 3.03 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold HK Kopavogur's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KR Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KR Reykjavik and 1.00 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of KR Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur?

KR Reykjavik 1-2 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KR Reykjavik vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated a KR Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split KR Reykjavik 52%, draw 24%, HK Kopavogur 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KR Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KR Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
12 May 2024
22:15 Fylkir vs Breidablik Analysis →
22:15 Vikingur R. vs FH Hafnarfjordur Analysis →