Copiapo 4-0 Cobreloa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.82
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.7pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.9pp
24%
Away Win
24%
-0.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Copiapo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Cobreloa EU Bookmakers 28%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
2.10/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.30
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
13.9 Crosses 13.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Copiapo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Cobreloa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
28.11.2022 Cobreloa Cobreloa 0-5 HT 0-2 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
24.11.2022 Copiapo Copiapo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
19.07.2022 Copiapo Copiapo 2-0 HT 1-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
06.06.2022 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-0 HT 1-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
16.10.2021 Cobreloa Cobreloa 2-0 HT 2-0 Copiapo Copiapo ŞİLİB
15.07.2021 Copiapo Copiapo 0-0 HT 0-0 Cobreloa Cobreloa ŞİLİB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Copiapo
4-0
AWAY Cobreloa
2.23 xG 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
283 Passes 282
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Copiapo vs Cobreloa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Copiapo ran out comfortable winners over Cobreloa 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Copiapo as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Copiapo had 50% of the ball to Cobreloa's 50%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 2.23 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Copiapo and 0.67 for Cobreloa.

What was the final score of Copiapo vs Cobreloa?

Copiapo 4-0 Cobreloa in the Chile - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Copiapo vs Cobreloa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Copiapo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Copiapo 44%, draw 32%, Cobreloa 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Copiapo) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Copiapo) ✗ BTTS Yes
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