U. Catolica 3-2 O Higgins — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.4pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME U. Catolica EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY O Higgins EU Bookmakers 31%
-9% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.46/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.18
+9% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
19.6 Crosses 17.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME U. Catolica
3W-1D-2L
AWAY O Higgins
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.39 xG 0.73
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 226
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 O Higgins O Higgins 0-3 HT 0-1 U. Catolica ŞİL
23.04.2023 U. Catolica 0-1 HT 0-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
12.08.2022 U. Catolica 2-2 HT 1-1 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
20.03.2022 O Higgins O Higgins 2-1 HT 2-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
01.11.2021 O Higgins O Higgins 1-3 HT 1-0 U. Catolica ŞİL
26.07.2021 U. Catolica 3-0 HT 0-0 O Higgins O Higgins ŞİL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME U. Catolica
3-2
AWAY O Higgins
1.12 xG 1.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
270 Passes 189
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
13 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH U. Catolica vs O Higgins
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

U. Catolica edged past O Higgins 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day U. Catolica made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, U. Catolica had 56% of the ball to O Higgins's 44%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.12 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, U. Catolica had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for U. Catolica and 1.00 for O Higgins.

What was the final score of U. Catolica vs O Higgins?

U. Catolica 3-2 O Higgins in the Chile - Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for U. Catolica vs O Higgins?

Before kick-off our model rated a U. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split U. Catolica 40%, draw 28%, O Higgins 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (U. Catolica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (U. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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