Bayern Münih 2-0 Wolfsburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 May 2024

Bayern Münih
2-0 HT 2-0
Wolfsburg
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.69
6+ Goals
12%
6.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.95
X/1
17%
3.85
X/2
4%
11.8
X/X
11%
7.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
19.35
2/2
10%
8.2
2/X
5%
17.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.35 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bayern Münih v Wolfsburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsburg EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.30/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.41
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +29%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
449 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
35.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
20.6 Crosses 15.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Münih
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Wolfsburg
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.20 xG 1.18
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
532 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 79%
37 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 1-2 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
05.02.2023 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-4 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
14.08.2022 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 2-0 HT 2-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
14.05.2022 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-2 HT 1-2 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1
17.12.2021 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih 4-0 HT 1-0 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg AL1
17.04.2021 Wolfsburg Wolfsburg 2-3 HT 1-3 Bayern Münih Bayern Münih AL1

Bayern Münih 2-0 Wolfsburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern Münih
2-0
AWAY Wolfsburg
0.29 xG 0.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 0
673 Passes 444
92% Pass Accuracy 88%
29 Box Touches 9
14 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih beat Wolfsburg 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bayern Münih had 59% of the ball to Wolfsburg's 41%, shots finished 6-5, expected goals 0.29 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayern Münih had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Bayern Münih and 1.17 for Wolfsburg.

What was the final score of Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?

Bayern Münih 2-0 Wolfsburg in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Münih vs Wolfsburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Bayern Münih 60%, draw 21%, Wolfsburg 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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