Bochum 0-5 Bayer Leverkusen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Bundesliga, 12 May 2024

Bochum
0-5 HT 0-2
Bayer Leverkusen
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Germany - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
12%
7.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.08
1/2
9%
20.7
1/X
8%
14.5
X/1
14%
8.88
X/2
16%
4.27
X/X
13%
5.94
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.24
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bochum v Bayer Leverkusen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bochum EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.04
+11% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +33%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
295 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 393 · 78%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
18.7 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8

Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bochum
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.80 xG 1.79
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
254 Passes 402
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.12.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 4-0 HT 3-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
27.05.2023 Bochum Bochum 3-0 HT 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
25.01.2023 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
10.04.2022 Bochum Bochum 0-0 HT 0-0 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen AL1
20.11.2021 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bochum Bochum AL1
31.08.2017 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 HT 0-2 Bochum Bochum HAZ

Bochum 0-5 Bayer Leverkusen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bochum
0-5
AWAY Bayer Leverkusen
0.30 xG 4.26
32% Ball Possession 68%
3 Total Shots 29
0 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
211 Passes 557
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
10 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayer Leverkusen ran out comfortable winners over Bochum 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bayer Leverkusen as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bochum had 32% of the ball to Bayer Leverkusen's 68%, shots finished 3-29, expected goals 0.30 to 4.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayer Leverkusen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bochum and 1.33 for Bayer Leverkusen.

What was the final score of Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bochum 0-5 Bayer Leverkusen in the Germany - Bundesliga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayer Leverkusen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bochum 29%, draw 27%, Bayer Leverkusen 43%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayer Leverkusen) ✗ BTTS Yes
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