Sumqayıt 2-1 Sebail FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 12 May 2024

Sumqayıt
2-1 HT 2-0
Sebail FK
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2023/2024

Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.82
Over 2.5
55%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
51%
-6.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
49%
+6.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sumqayıt v Sebail FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +7%
1.29/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.58
-18% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
325 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.6 Yellow Cards 1.7

Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sebail FK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.03.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.12.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
05.08.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-4 HT 0-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
07.05.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 1-3 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
04.03.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
14.12.2022 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 2-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sumqayıt nicked a narrow win over Sebail FK 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sumqayıt as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sumqayıt and 0.67 for Sebail FK.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK?

Sumqayıt 2-1 Sebail FK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Sebail FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sumqayıt win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 45%, draw 26%, Sebail FK 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sumqayıt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sumqayıt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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