Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar EU Bookmakers 42%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -21%
0.81/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.32
-26% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
204 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
20.1 Crosses 15.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bolivar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.76
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
175 Passes 315
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 5-1 HT 2-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
15.05.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
02.10.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 0-0 HT 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
23.04.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 1-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
20.02.2022 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 1-0 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
19.09.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-1 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
0-1
AWAY Bolivar
2.29 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
27 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
251 Passes 194
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar edged past Independiente Petrolero 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Bolivar made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 55% of the ball to Bolivar's 45%, shots finished 27-13, expected goals 2.29 to 1.25 — the balance of chances actually favoured Independiente Petrolero.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.67 for Bolivar.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Independiente Petrolero 0-1 Bolivar in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Bolivar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 38%, draw 28%, Bolivar 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
12 May 2024
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