The Strongest 2-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.6pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME The Strongest EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 23%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.35/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.29
-14% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
10.3 Crosses 17.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME The Strongest
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.59 xG 1.13
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
228 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2023 The Strongest The Strongest 1-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
24.06.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-3 HT 4-0 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
17.09.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
12.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-1 HT 1-1 The Strongest The Strongest BOLİ
06.03.2022 The Strongest The Strongest 1-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
18.08.2021 The Strongest The Strongest 7-0 HT 2-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME The Strongest
2-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

The Strongest edged past Nacional Potosi 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had The Strongest as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, The Strongest had 57% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 43%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, The Strongest had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for The Strongest and 1.50 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi?

The Strongest 2-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for The Strongest vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a The Strongest win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split The Strongest 53%, draw 23%, Nacional Potosi 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (The Strongest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (The Strongest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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