Avai 1-0 Coritiba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 May 2024

Avai
1-0 HT 0-0
Coritiba
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Avai vs Coritiba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
5.15
6+ Goals
9%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-1.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avai v Coritiba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avai EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Coritiba EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
0.97/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.14
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.6 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Avai vs Coritiba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avai
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Coritiba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 0.96
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 Passes 367
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 14
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.08.2022 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR1
10.05.2022 Avai Avai 2-1 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR1
21.08.2021 Avai Avai 1-2 HT 1-1 Coritiba Coritiba BR2
30.05.2021 Coritiba Coritiba 2-0 HT 1-0 Avai Avai BR2
30.09.2018 Coritiba Coritiba 1-0 HT 0-0 Avai Avai BR2
09.06.2018 Avai Avai 2-0 HT 0-0 Coritiba Coritiba BR2

Avai 1-0 Coritiba — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Avai
1-0
AWAY Coritiba
0.55 xG 1.02
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
241 Passes 290
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Avai vs Coritiba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avai edged past Coritiba 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 34%) promised a tight game; Avai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Avai had 46% of the ball to Coritiba's 54%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 0.55 to 1.02 — on chances, Coritiba could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coritiba led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Avai and 1.17 for Coritiba.

What was the final score of Avai vs Coritiba?

Avai 1-0 Coritiba in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avai vs Coritiba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avai win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Avai 36%, draw 31%, Coritiba 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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