EIF 0-2 Ilves Tampere — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
54%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.76
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
18%
3.24
6+ Goals
15%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.54
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.3
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
8%
11.0
X/2
14%
3.77
X/X
13%
5.69
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
34%
1.97
2/X
5%
16.1
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.3 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
54%
Away Win
58%
-4.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.56/1.06
+7% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
255 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 75%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
0-2
AWAY Ilves Tampere
0.27 xG 1.40
31% Ball Possession 69%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
259 Passes 695
76% Pass Accuracy 90%
11 Box Touches 33
10 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH EIF vs Ilves Tampere
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere got the better of EIF 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, EIF had 31% of the ball to Ilves Tampere's 69%, shots finished 5-12, expected goals 0.27 to 1.40.

What was the final score of EIF vs Ilves Tampere?

EIF 0-2 Ilves Tampere in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs Ilves Tampere?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split EIF 23%, draw 23%, Ilves Tampere 54%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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