FC Lahti 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
36%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.63
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
8%
5.0
X/2
8%
5.57
X/X
16%
4.09
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
22%
4.2
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.32
-19% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
276 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.4 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Lahti
2W-2D-2L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.58 xG 1.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
436 Passes 256
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 FC Lahti FC Lahti 1-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
08.10.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
23.07.2023 FC Lahti FC Lahti 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-3 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
19.02.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Lahti FC Lahti FLK
18.09.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 6-0 HT 1-0 FC Lahti FC Lahti FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Lahti
3-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.98 xG 0.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
231 Passes 270
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti ran out comfortable winners over IFK Mariehamn 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 36% — and on the day FC Lahti made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Lahti had 47% of the ball to IFK Mariehamn's 53%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 1.98 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Lahti and 1.83 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of FC Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn?

FC Lahti 3-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Mariehamn win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FC Lahti 33%, draw 30%, IFK Mariehamn 36%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (IFK Mariehamn), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Mariehamn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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