Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
12%
11.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
19%
4.16
X/2
8%
9.48
X/X
13%
5.15
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
12%
7.05
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 24%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +15%
1.75/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.49
+33% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +14%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 81%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.2 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.55 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
425 Passes 428
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.08.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.05.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-2 HT 0-2 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
20.02.2022 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2020 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 4-1 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
25.07.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-5 HT 1-3 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2-2
AWAY Gimcheon Sangmu
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 10
314 Passes 413
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai and Gimcheon Sangmu shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 43% of the ball to Gimcheon Sangmu's 57%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.83 for Gimcheon Sangmu.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 Gimcheon Sangmu in the South Kore - K League Classic on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Gimcheon Sangmu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 49%, draw 25%, Gimcheon Sangmu 26%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ BTTS Yes
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