Bucheon 1995 3-4 Jeonnam Dragons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.18
6+ Goals
9%
20.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 33% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.14/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.12
-2% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
323 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
22.7 Crosses 18.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.51 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
340 Passes 321
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 4-1 HT 1-1 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
05.08.2023 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
07.05.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 5-2 HT 2-2 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
15.10.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-2 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
08.08.2022 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons 1-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
07.05.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 0-0 Jeonnam Dragons Jeonnam Dragons GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
3-4
AWAY Jeonnam Dragons
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonnam Dragons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeonnam Dragons edged past Bucheon 1995 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jeonnam Dragons found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 49% of the ball to Jeonnam Dragons's 51%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.33 for Jeonnam Dragons.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Bucheon 1995 3-4 Jeonnam Dragons in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Jeonnam Dragons?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 35%, draw 30%, Jeonnam Dragons 35%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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