Gyeongnam FC 1-2 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.16
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.16 — our 31% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 32%
-18% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.25/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.06
-13% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
332 Passes 348
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
19.07.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
14.05.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-2 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
24.11.2019 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-2
AWAY Seongnam
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seongnam squeezed past Gyeongnam FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Seongnam made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 54% of the ball to Seongnam's 46%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.50 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam?

Gyeongnam FC 1-2 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 40%, draw 26%, Seongnam 34%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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