Kitchee 1-2 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitchee EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitchee
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Eastern
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2024 Eastern Eastern 2-1 HT 1-1 Kitchee Kitchee HK1
06.04.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 0-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
11.02.2024 Kitchee Kitchee 1-1 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HONSS
26.11.2022 Kitchee Kitchee 3-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.10.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 1-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
23.05.2021 Kitchee Kitchee 2-0 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitchee
1-2
AWAY Eastern
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kitchee vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over Kitchee 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Kitchee at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Kitchee had 66% of the ball to Eastern's 34%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kitchee had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kitchee and 0.50 for Eastern.

What was the final score of Kitchee vs Eastern?

Kitchee 1-2 Eastern in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 51%, draw 24%, Eastern 26%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kitchee) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kitchee) ✓ BTTS Yes
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