Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
55%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
58%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.27/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.16
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.4
20.1 Crosses 12.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.95
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
338 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.07.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
30.01.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
24.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
15.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.10.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-0
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.74 xG 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 7
264 Passes 354
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 7
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios edged past Deportivo Pereira 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Millonarios had 42% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 58%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.74 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 1.00 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?

Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 49%, draw 29%, Deportivo Pereira 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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KOL More Colombia - Primera
12 May 2024
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