Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.2pp
38%
Away Win
40%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -6%
1.23/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.93
+5% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
15.0 Crosses 17.7
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
286 Passes 368
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
30.01.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-3 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
24.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 2-1 HT 2-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
15.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
20.10.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
18.04.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-2
AWAY Millonarios
0.61 xG 1.93
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
477 Passes 200
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios squeezed past Deportivo Pereira 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 67% of the ball to Millonarios's 33%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.61 to 1.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Millonarios's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.00 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 31%, draw 31%, Millonarios 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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