Alianza Petrolera 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.54
Over 2.5
38%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Petrolera EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.35/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.27
+21% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
18.2 Crosses 18.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.46 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
258 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
15.04.2023 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 3-0 HT 2-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
31.07.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 2-0 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOL
07.04.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera KOLK
31.03.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 1-1 HT 0-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOLK
08.02.2022 Alianza Petrolera Alianza Petrolera 2-0 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Petrolera
2-1
AWAY Jaguares De Cordoba
65% Ball Possession 35%
24 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
367 Passes 176
86% Pass Accuracy 76%
POST-MATCH Alianza Petrolera vs Jaguares De Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Petrolera edged past Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Alianza Petrolera made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alianza Petrolera had 65% of the ball to Jaguares De Cordoba's 35%, shots finished 24-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Alianza Petrolera and 0.83 for Jaguares De Cordoba.

What was the final score of Alianza Petrolera vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Alianza Petrolera 2-1 Jaguares De Cordoba in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Petrolera vs Jaguares De Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Petrolera win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Petrolera 37%, draw 29%, Jaguares De Cordoba 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Petrolera) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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