Santa Fe 1-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 21 Apr 2024

📅21/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.5pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.17/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.08
-7% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 75%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.6 Crosses 11.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
2W-3D-1L
AWAY America de Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
233 Passes 266
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
28.08.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
15.03.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
03.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
08.02.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-2 HT 0-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
21.10.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOLSK
30.08.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY America de Cali
0.64 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
203 Passes 207
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 19
6 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over America de Cali 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Santa Fe had 49% of the ball to America de Cali's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.64 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Santa Fe and 1.33 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

Santa Fe 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 21/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 44%, draw 28%, America de Cali 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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