BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
BFC Daugavpils v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals
BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
3-1
HT 2-1
FK Tukums 2000
LET
3-3
HT 2-1
FK Tukums 2000
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
BFC Daugavpils 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils ran out comfortable winners over FK Tukums 2000 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, BFC Daugavpils had 55% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 45%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.95 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for BFC Daugavpils and 1.50 for FK Tukums 2000.
What was the final score of BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000?
BFC Daugavpils 4-1 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for BFC Daugavpils vs FK Tukums 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split BFC Daugavpils 47%, draw 26%, FK Tukums 2000 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.