Debrecen 1-0 MOL Fehervar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Debrecen EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.33/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.63
+4% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
23.5 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY MOL Fehervar
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.43 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
379 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-0 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
22.10.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 3-1 HT 2-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
30.04.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 2-0 HT 0-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
04.02.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-1 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.09.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 1-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
30.04.2022 Debrecen Debrecen 0-3 HT 0-2 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1-0
AWAY MOL Fehervar
0.93 xG 1.22
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
513 Passes 254
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 7
7 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Debrecen vs MOL Fehervar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Debrecen nicked a narrow win over MOL Fehervar 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Debrecen had 63% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 37%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.93 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Debrecen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Debrecen and 1.00 for MOL Fehervar.

What was the final score of Debrecen vs MOL Fehervar?

Debrecen 1-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Debrecen vs MOL Fehervar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 47%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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