Backa Topola 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.0pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Backa Topola EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.28/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.03
+10% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
304 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 73%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.4 Crosses 16.2
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Backa Topola
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.32 xG 0.91
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 Passes 266
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 6
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.04.2024 Backa Topola Backa Topola 0-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
05.11.2023 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 0-2 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
27.04.2023 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-0 HT 0-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
22.10.2022 Backa Topola Backa Topola 1-1 HT 1-0 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom SIRP
09.07.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-4 HT 0-1 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
12.03.2022 Cukaricki Stankom Cukaricki Stankom 1-1 HT 0-0 Backa Topola Backa Topola SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Backa Topola
2-0
AWAY Cukaricki Stankom
1.14 xG 0.52
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 8
408 Passes 294
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 27
8 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Backa Topola got the better of Cukaricki Stankom 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Backa Topola as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Backa Topola had 55% of the ball to Cukaricki Stankom's 45%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.14 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Backa Topola had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Backa Topola and 0.50 for Cukaricki Stankom.

What was the final score of Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Backa Topola 2-0 Cukaricki Stankom in the Serbia - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Backa Topola vs Cukaricki Stankom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Backa Topola win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Backa Topola 43%, draw 24%, Cukaricki Stankom 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Backa Topola) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Backa Topola) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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