Kızılyıldız 3-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.27
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
16%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
74%
-14.0pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.1pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+4.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kızılyıldız EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.77/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.99
+37% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -16%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
47.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
28.5 Crosses 14.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kızılyıldız
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
3.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.81 xG 0.41
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
402 Passes 163
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
44 Box Touches 10
16 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.03.2024 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 5-0 HT 2-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
08.10.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 2-3 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
16.10.2022 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-1 HT 0-1 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
10.04.2022 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız 4-1 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
31.10.2021 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-3 HT 0-2 Kızılyıldız Kızılyıldız SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kızılyıldız
3-2
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2.01 xG 0.94
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
373 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
45 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kızılyıldız nicked a narrow win over Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kızılyıldız as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kızılyıldız had 59% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 41%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.01 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kızılyıldız had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.20 goals for Kızılyıldız and 0.20 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Kızılyıldız 3-2 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kızılyıldız vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kızılyıldız win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kızılyıldız 60%, draw 24%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kızılyıldız), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kızılyıldız) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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