Celje 2-1 Koper — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 12 May 2024

Celje
2-1 HT 1-1
Koper
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.3pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.9pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+6.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Koper EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +0%
1.72/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.58
-11% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Koper
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.03.2024 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
17.09.2023 Koper Koper 1-1 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
13.05.2023 Celje Celje 2-0 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
11.03.2023 Koper Koper 0-1 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
13.11.2022 Celje Celje 1-1 HT 0-1 Koper Koper SLVN
02.09.2022 Koper Koper 0-2 HT 0-2 Celje Celje SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY Koper
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celje vs Koper
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje nicked a narrow win over Koper 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Celje had 54% of the ball to Koper's 46%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celje and 0.50 for Koper.

What was the final score of Celje vs Koper?

Celje 2-1 Koper in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs Koper?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celje 50%, draw 25%, Koper 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
12 May 2024
18:30 NK Bravo vs Mura Analysis →