Cuiaba 2-3 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.48
Over
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
37%
2.15
2-3
38%
1.77
4-5
17%
5.32
6+
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
41%
-1.4pp
60%
BTTS No
59%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR The Market 26%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +6%
1.51/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.09
+27% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +34%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.2 Crosses 18.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 306
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.12.2020 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-0 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
23.09.2020 Operario PR Operario PR 1-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
07.09.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR2
05.05.2019 Cuiaba Cuiaba 2-1 HT 2-1 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
2-3
AWAY Operario PR
1.46 xG 1.78
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 Passes 211
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 13
25 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Cuiaba 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Cuiaba at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cuiaba had 59% of the ball to Operario PR's 41%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.46 to 1.78.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cuiaba had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cuiaba and 1.00 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Operario PR?

Cuiaba 2-3 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 47%, draw 29%, Operario PR 24%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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