Novorizontino vs Ferroviaria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Novorizontino v Ferroviaria — Team-Based Signals
Novorizontino vs Ferroviaria Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Novorizontino 2-2 Ferroviaria — Actual Match Statistics
Novorizontino and Ferroviaria couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match split (41% / 37% / 22%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Novorizontino had 50% of the ball to Ferroviaria's 50%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.25 to 0.67.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Novorizontino had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Novorizontino and 0.60 for Ferroviaria.
What was the final score of Novorizontino vs Ferroviaria?
Novorizontino 2-2 Ferroviaria in the Brazil - Serie B on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Novorizontino vs Ferroviaria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Novorizontino 41%, draw 37%, Ferroviaria 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.