Mebrat Hayl 1-2 Sidama Bunna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
27%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.9pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.6pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.2pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.7pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mebrat Hayl EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sidama Bunna EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.27/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.50
-70% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sidama Bunna
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.01.2025 Sidama Bunna Sidama Bunna 0-2 Mebrat Hayl Mebrat Hayl ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mebrat Hayl
1-2
AWAY Sidama Bunna
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sidama Bunna edged past Mebrat Hayl 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sidama Bunna as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mebrat Hayl had 50% of the ball to Sidama Bunna's 50%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna?

Mebrat Hayl 1-2 Sidama Bunna in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mebrat Hayl vs Sidama Bunna?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sidama Bunna win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mebrat Hayl 25%, draw 30%, Sidama Bunna 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sidama Bunna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sidama Bunna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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