Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Awassa Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.52
Over 2.5
32%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.03
No
66%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
68%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
45%
-11.7pp
66%
BTTS No
55%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arba Minch Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Awassa Kenema EU Bookmakers 38%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.39/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/1.42
+37% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / -36%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
268 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Awassa Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
08.12.2024 Awassa Kenema Awassa Kenema 0-1 Arba Minch Kenema Arba Minch Kenema ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arba Minch Kenema
0-1
AWAY Awassa Kenema
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 5
0 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Arba Minch Kenema vs Awassa Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Awassa Kenema edged past Arba Minch Kenema 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (32% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Awassa Kenema found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Arba Minch Kenema had 60% of the ball to Awassa Kenema's 40%, shots finished 10-5.

What was the final score of Arba Minch Kenema vs Awassa Kenema?

Arba Minch Kenema 0-1 Awassa Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arba Minch Kenema vs Awassa Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Arba Minch Kenema 32%, draw 34%, Awassa Kenema 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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