Den Bosch 1-0 Cambuur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 26% vs market 22.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.68
1/2
6%
24.65
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
11%
6.84
X/2
12%
5.22
X/X
15%
4.94
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.08
2/X
7%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-8.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.9pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Cambuur EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.36/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.28
-8% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
19.7 Crosses 17.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Den Bosch
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Cambuur
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.14 xG 2.09
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
238 Passes 372
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2025 Den Bosch Den Bosch 0-2 HT 0-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
26.11.2024 Cambuur Cambuur 1-2 HT 0-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
22.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
09.04.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-5 HT 2-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
27.11.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Den Bosch
1-0
AWAY Cambuur
0.99 xG 1.30
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
182 Passes 340
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Den Bosch vs Cambuur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch nicked a narrow win over Cambuur 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Den Bosch found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Den Bosch had 38% of the ball to Cambuur's 62%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.99 to 1.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Den Bosch and 2.50 for Cambuur.

What was the final score of Den Bosch vs Cambuur?

Den Bosch 1-0 Cambuur in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Den Bosch vs Cambuur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Den Bosch win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Den Bosch 37%, draw 29%, Cambuur 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Den Bosch), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Den Bosch) ✓ Under 2.5
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