Cambuur 1-2 Den Bosch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.49
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.7
6+ Goals
12%
6.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.79
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.85
X/1
13%
3.92
X/2
8%
13.05
X/X
8%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.0
2/2
11%
9.07
2/X
8%
17.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 9% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-10.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.7pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cambuur EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Den Bosch EU Bookmakers 20%
-14% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
2.05/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.73
+6% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.5 Crosses 16.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cambuur
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Den Bosch
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.68 xG 1.31
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
355 Passes 231
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
36 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2023 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-1 HT 1-0 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
09.09.2023 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 2-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
09.04.2021 Den Bosch Den Bosch 3-5 HT 2-2 Cambuur Cambuur HOL2
27.11.2020 Cambuur Cambuur 3-1 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
30.08.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 3-2 HT 1-1 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
22.04.2019 Cambuur Cambuur 2-0 HT 1-0 Den Bosch Den Bosch HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cambuur
1-2
AWAY Den Bosch
1.32 xG 0.79
67% Ball Possession 33%
23 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
451 Passes 185
84% Pass Accuracy 70%
32 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cambuur vs Den Bosch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Den Bosch squeezed past Cambuur 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cambuur at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cambuur had 67% of the ball to Den Bosch's 33%, shots finished 23-8, expected goals 1.32 to 0.79 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cambuur.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cambuur had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Cambuur and 1.67 for Den Bosch.

What was the final score of Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Cambuur 1-2 Den Bosch in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cambuur vs Den Bosch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cambuur win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cambuur 54%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cambuur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cambuur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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