Utrecht II 0-0 Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Nov 2024

📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
13%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.65
1/2
6%
21.5
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
8%
10.45
X/2
15%
4.01
X/X
8%
5.95
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.06
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.9pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utrecht II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Excelsior EU Bookmakers 62%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.14/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.18
-19% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
12.9 Crosses 23.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utrecht II
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Excelsior
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
0.93 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
291 Passes 381
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.02.2022 Utrecht II Utrecht II 0-1 HT 0-1 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
26.11.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 2-1 HT 0-1 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
12.03.2021 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 1-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
11.12.2020 Utrecht II Utrecht II 3-2 HT 2-0 Excelsior Excelsior HOL2
10.08.2019 Excelsior Excelsior 2-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht II Utrecht II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utrecht II
0-0
AWAY Excelsior
0.74 xG 1.57
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
289 Passes 368
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 40
9 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utrecht II vs Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utrecht II and Excelsior played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Excelsior at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Utrecht II had 45% of the ball to Excelsior's 55%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.74 to 1.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Excelsior led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Utrecht II and 1.80 for Excelsior.

What was the final score of Utrecht II vs Excelsior?

Utrecht II 0-0 Excelsior in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utrecht II vs Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Utrecht II 26%, draw 24%, Excelsior 50%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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