Roda 3-0 Vitesse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 26 Nov 2024

Roda
3-0 HT 1-0
Vitesse
📅26/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2024/2025

Roda vs Vitesse Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.29
Over 2.5
53%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
29%
2.9
6+ Goals
9%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.7
X/1
16%
3.76
X/2
8%
13.95
X/X
11%
6.78
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
11%
10.45
2/X
5%
18.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
66%
-15.7pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
26%
Away Win
15%
+11.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Roda v Vitesse — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitesse EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.68/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/2.14
-13% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.8 Crosses 23.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 4.3

Roda vs Vitesse Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Vitesse
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.14 xG 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
242 Passes 376
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.03.2018 Vitesse Vitesse 0-3 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL
18.08.2017 Roda Roda 1-3 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
14.05.2017 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL
20.08.2016 Roda Roda 0-1 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
06.03.2016 Roda Roda 1-2 HT 0-1 Vitesse Vitesse HOL
14.08.2015 Vitesse Vitesse 3-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL

Roda 3-0 Vitesse — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
3-0
AWAY Vitesse
2.38 xG 0.59
55% Ball Possession 45%
19 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
404 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Roda vs Vitesse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda ran out comfortable winners over Vitesse 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Roda had 55% of the ball to Vitesse's 45%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.38 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitesse led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Roda and 2.00 for Vitesse.

What was the final score of Roda vs Vitesse?

Roda 3-0 Vitesse in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 26/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Vitesse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roda 50%, draw 24%, Vitesse 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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