Jadran Dekani 1-6 Triglav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Triglav EU Bookmakers 66%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.08/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/0.59
+20% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +52%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jadran Dekani
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Triglav
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Triglav Triglav 1-0 HT 0-0 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
28.10.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 3-1 HT 3-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
29.10.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-0 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
12.03.2022 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 1-1 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jadran Dekani
1-6
AWAY Triglav
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Jadran Dekani vs Triglav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav ran out comfortable winners over Jadran Dekani 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jadran Dekani had 39% of the ball to Triglav's 61%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Jadran Dekani and 0.75 for Triglav.

What was the final score of Jadran Dekani vs Triglav?

Jadran Dekani 1-6 Triglav in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jadran Dekani vs Triglav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Jadran Dekani 27%, draw 22%, Triglav 50%. The final score 1-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ BTTS No
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