Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Academia Anzoátegui — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 12 May 2025

📅12/05/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-2.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.58/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.22
+7% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +137% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
19.7 Crosses 13.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.26 xG 0.62
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
390 Passes 327
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
10 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Academia Anzoátegui 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
3-1
AWAY Academia Anzoátegui
2.65 xG 0.57
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
361 Passes 274
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 12
23 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira saw off Academia Anzoátegui 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Guaira as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 55% of the ball to Academia Anzoátegui's 45%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 2.65 to 0.57.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Deportivo La Guaira 3-1 Academia Anzoátegui in the Venezuela - Premier League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs Academia Anzoátegui?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 51%, draw 28%, Academia Anzoátegui 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →